AI-Driven Prediction Market
Trading System

The Challenge

Prediction markets move fast — prices shift with every news cycle, social media trend, and data release. Manual analysis can’t keep pace with the volume of signals, and most existing tools lack the ability to synthesize unstructured information into actionable probability estimates.

The Solution

We designed and built an end-to-end AI trading system that ingests real-time data, generates probability estimates using large language models, and executes trades automatically based on configurable thresholds and risk parameters.

• Real-time data ingestion from news feeds, social media, and market APIs
• LLM-based probability estimation with structured reasoning chains
• Automated trade execution with configurable risk management
• Backtesting framework for strategy validation against historical data
• Dashboard for monitoring positions, P&L, and model confidence

The Outcome

The system processes thousands of signals daily, identifying mispriced markets and executing trades faster than manual analysis allows. The AI layer surfaces opportunities that would otherwise be buried in noise, giving the operator a consistent edge.